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      • In the News

        11 September 2019   |  

        Lots of stimulus talk making today’s headlines. Whether global economies are on the verge of recession is unknowable—but global leaders are certainly keen to calm nerves lest investors fret their abilities to respond in the face of such a slowdown.

      • Broken Brexit?

        06 September 2019   |  

        Hard as it is to believe, the British voted to leave the EU almost 1,200 days ago—yet the country seems no closer to Brexiting than it was on June 22, 2016. How have we arrived (or rather, not arrived) at this point? 

      • In the News

        05 September 2019   |  

        Investors are turning their attention to the upcoming US Fed policy meeting, at which the majority expects a rate cut. We have today’s Fed headlines and other major global news:

      • In the News

        03 September 2019   |  

        Ample headlines coming off a long weekend in the US—from the inverted yield curve to ongoing global geopolitical machinations of various stripes: 

      • In the News

        23 August 2019   |  

        No August lull in 2019, with global monetary policy chiefs meeting in Jackson Hole, WY, and the ongoing trade dispute between China and the US garnering ample attention. Among today’s headlines:

      • In the News

        22 August 2019   |  

        Making headlines today is a variety of economic news, including more data which send contradictory messages about the expansion’s resilience. A sample:

      • Banks Get Some Relief in Volcker-Rule Changes

        21 August 2019   |  

        Banks Get Some Relief in Volcker-Rule Changes

        US regulators are easing some of the regulatory headwinds that have faced US financial institutions since Dodd-Frank’s 2010 passage. The recent focus has been on some of the more complex and onerous Volcker rule requirements—which sought to limit banks’ ability to speculate with their own funds. The rule is based on the assumption that such short-term trades only benefit the banks—not their customers—and should therefore be limited. Further, the rule put the onus squarely on the banks to prove otherwise for every transaction that occurred within a 60-day window. 

        The assumption is faulty, though.

      • The Disparate Impact of Brexit on UK-Domiciled Companies

        20 August 2019   |  

        The Brexit deadline is looming. Again. While it doesn’t seem inconceivable the can could be kicked yet again, as things currently stand, the UK will leave the EU with or without a deal on October 31. For investors, a clear concern is just how a post-Brexit world will impact companies domiciled in the UK. While it’s nearly impossible to predict with any measure of certainty, the thought experiment is worthwhile.

      • Gold Price Tops $1,500

        19 August 2019   |  

        Consider first this headline—Gold Price Tops $1,500—and then consider this combination of recent events:

      • Not All PEs Are Created Equal

        31 May 2019   |  

        Value investing is out of favor. That may be a gross understatement. Growth has outperformed value in 8 of the past 10 years—2011 was a dead heat, and value bested growth in 2016 only to trail by a relative 14% over the next 2 years. According to some measures, growth stocks trade at a nearly 50% premium to their value counterparts. That should be cause for some optimism from the value crowd as such extreme disparities tend to sow the seeds of their own undoing. That said, we saw growth premiums stretch as high as 100% during the dot-com era.

        We must admit we don’t spend much time worrying about this. We focus on the economics, not the machinations of the market per se or which way the winds of popularity blow. Economics endure and ultimately prevail.

        So in this market of massive growth premiums, what is for sale in the value bin?