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Growth Team Weekly Investment Insights
In this week's post, we discuss the Fed's recent policy meeting, signs of consumer weakness, the outsized outperformance of non-US equities in 2025 and how Formula One hopes Brad Pitt will drive increased popularity and monetization of the sport.
Trading Viewpoints: Turkish Twist
Our embedded traders work alongside portfolio managers and analysts to constantly assess market structures, liquidity and execution. These functions seek to help enable operational alpha by reducing risks, minimizing transaction costs and taking advantage of price differentials. To support our analysis, we gather and evaluate uniquely curated datasets. Below is the outcome of one such analysis:
The rise of electronic trading in liquid foreign exchange (FX) markets has delivered significant advantages to asset managers, with enhanced price transparency being one of the most notable. Greater transparency helps improve price discovery, enabling more accurate measurement of transaction costs and allowing asset managers to better attribute those costs to specific market events. A recent example of this is the detention of a prominent political opposition leader in Turkey on March 19, 2025, which triggered volatility in the Turkish lira. This event serves as a timely case study of how political shocks can impact transaction costs in the FX market.
Reinventing the Well
Several oil-producing nations are undergoing a transformative shift, moving from a market dominated by the oil majors to one where large segments of the industry are led by local companies. This trend is creating substantial growth opportunities for local independent oil companies and helping boost the domestic economies of these nations.
What We're Doing Is Very Big...Dividends
The growth stock trade that propelled US equity markets higher since late 2022 has rapidly come undone in recent weeks.
Growth Team Weekly Investment Insights
Last week was very busy from a macroeconomic and equity performance standpoint.
Growth Team Weekly Investment Insights
Last week, we walked through some of the macroeconomic data that are leading to market jitters. In this post, we walk through some of the investment implications so far this year.
When the Music Stops at the High Yield Party
In a world where uncertainty outweighs certainty, EM credit spreads have defied expectations, grinding tighter despite persistent macro risks. Since mid-2022, spreads have steadily narrowed, recently reaching their tightest levels since February 2020—just weeks before the global COVID-19 sell-off. While EM debt benchmarks have ridden the wave of broad credit spread tightening, their market-cap-weighted methodology has resulted in a significant allocation to low-spread securities, leaving the benchmarks with one foot in and one foot out of the party.
Growth Team Weekly Investment Insights
Following a break, we’re excited to resume our Growth Team insights series. In this post, we check on the macroeconomic data driving markets so far in 2025.
Trading Viewpoints: Tick Tock, How to Trade the Clock
Our embedded traders work alongside portfolio managers and analysts to constantly assess market structures, liquidity and execution. These functions seek to help enable operational alpha by reducing risks, minimizing transaction costs and taking advantage of price differentials. To support our analysis, we gather and evaluate uniquely curated datasets. Below is the outcome of one such analysis:
Transaction costs in foreign exchange can be a significant drag on emerging markets debt portfolios if not carefully managed. As a result, foreign exchange trade execution strategy becomes a vital component of such portfolios. One key decision in minimizing transaction costs is determining the optimal time of day for execution. Unlike exchange-traded markets, the foreign exchange market operates 24 hours a day without official opening or closing times, making timing decisions dependent on the analysis of transaction costs.
Trading Viewpoints: A Little Skew Goes a Long Way
Our embedded traders work alongside portfolio managers and analysts to constantly assess market structures, liquidity and execution. These functions seek to help enable operational alpha by reducing risks, minimizing transaction costs and taking advantage of price differentials. To support our analysis, we gather and evaluate uniquely curated datasets. Below is the outcome of one such analysis:
The rise of electronic trading in liquid foreign exchange markets has brought significant benefits to asset managers, including enhanced price discovery, faster trading execution, and improved trade processing efficiency. However, one often overlooked advantage is the benefit of skewed prices offered by liquidity providers. We aimed to quantify the value of this skew and assess its impact on emerging market currencies.